Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.185536 1.406090 1.636905 1.894908 2.173771 2.464739 2.789967
2025-01-12 0.831954 1.132446 1.468609 1.865542 2.315117 2.803034 3.367400
2025-01-19 0.706341 1.055767 1.463903 1.961834 2.540731 3.182201 3.937123
2025-01-26 0.616228 1.004761 1.476431 2.067978 2.770379 3.561438 4.504707
2025-02-02 0.555235 0.977333 1.506854 2.185960 3.005725 3.940422 5.065906
2025-02-09 0.513384 0.967533 1.553687 2.319499 3.256300 4.334895 5.643542
2025-02-16 0.456671 0.929208 1.558273 2.396266 3.435347 4.643416 6.120161
2025-02-23 0.389309 0.866676 1.524872 2.420350 3.546709 4.869520 6.498924
2025-03-02 0.298831 0.756414 1.418316 2.343753 3.528840 4.937923 6.689644
2025-03-09 0.219591 0.649509 1.306473 2.252304 3.486129 4.971532 6.835031
2025-03-16 0.165979 0.574885 1.233222 2.206075 3.495477 5.064070 7.046786
2025-03-23 0.138528 0.543031 1.219946 2.238716 3.603670 5.275808 7.399932
2025-03-30 0.106965 0.498495 1.187896 2.249430 3.690523 5.470747 7.745514
2025-04-06 0.073374 0.438715 1.126780 2.216597 3.719573 5.594539 8.006756
2025-04-13 0.065844 0.439651 1.163433 2.322526 3.930651 5.944185 8.541249
2025-04-20 0.060481 0.445018 1.207171 2.438783 4.155832 6.312117 9.098947
2025-04-27 0.057267 0.455629 1.259636 2.567822 4.398293 6.702100 9.684091
2025-05-04 0.056296 0.472655 1.323257 2.713523 4.663494 7.121240 10.305609
2025-05-11 0.048471 0.466175 1.345093 2.797144 4.845245 7.435397 10.799014
2025-05-18 0.036157 0.439492 1.329153 2.823357 4.948848 7.650456 11.170778
2025-05-25 0.018391 0.377045 1.242744 2.739955 4.901197 7.671967 11.303237
2025-06-01 0.006407 0.315114 1.149156 2.640247 4.827327 7.657088 11.388247
2025-06-08 0.001555 0.273798 1.089899 2.589786 4.818200 7.722402 11.569893